Proposal Is Rejected

30%its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Russia dismisses the demilitarized-zone concept as insufficient because it does not hand Moscow all of Donbas. This fits the recent pattern of Putin rejecting a freeze while using negotiations to restate maximalist objectives.

What it moves

Technology−0.5%
Finance−0.4%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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