• 

  69%est.0.0%

  Binding acquisition agreement for Option Care Health by McKesson and CD&R

  This is a company-specific acquisition shock, not a market event: broad US equities remain at 0% over 20 days. The target gains 25%, while acquisition financing and execution concerns weigh on the acquirer and closely trading healthcare distributors, leaving Healthcare down $1.14 billion.

• 

  18%est.0.0%

  Option Care Health buyout path ends — no-replacement branch

  This is a company-specific repricing event: Option Care Health (OPCH) falls 15%, erasing $511M, while the broad equity market remains at +0%. Healthcare loses $485M, while Technology gains $262M, but both sector returns round to 0%. The split reflects lost transaction value at Option Care Health rather than a change in the wider economy.

• 

  1%est.0.0%

  Completion of Option Care Health acquisition by McKesson and CD&R

  The economic thesis is a concentrated healthcare repricing event, not a macro shock: US equities stay at 0%, while Option Care Health (OPCH) rises 25% and healthcare gains $808M. DocGo (DCGO) gains 2.6% through measured co-movement with Option Care Health, while other sectors show only near-zero valuation effects rather than operating damage.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if it happens. For information only. Not investment advice.