Possible scenario
Hearing Proceeds, Removal Stalled
38% Chance
The most likely path is that the White House-backed hearing goes forward as a fact-finding exercise, but courts prevent immediate removal while Lisa Cook's challenge continues. Prior rulings blocking immediate removal suggest judges remain cautious about allowing presidential control over a sitting Federal Reserve governor.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
- US dollar Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.1%
- Finance -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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