Possible scenario
Accountability track builds
20% Chance
The sanctions package is used primarily as a legal and evidentiary step. UK officials share files with Ukraine’s Prosecutor General, Eurojust and the International Criminal Court rather than expanding economic measures.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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