Possible scenario
Houthi Control Consolidates
42% Chance
Ansarallah uses the capture of Taiz Central Prison and nearby heights to lock in control of the city and pressure remaining Presidential Leadership Council-aligned units to withdraw south. The most likely path is a rapid security consolidation because the government supply route to Aden has already been cut and surrounding high ground is now in Houthi hands.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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