Wider Democratic Wave
−0.8%
The final count exceeds the current 56-seat expectation, giving Democrats their strongest Senate position in nearly two decades. This would be a bigger political surprise and would lead investors to price higher odds of tax, healthcare, energy, and antitrust legislation.
What it moves
- Energy−1.0%
- Healthcare−1.0%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.