Recounts Delay Certification
−0.3%
One or more close races enter recounts, litigation, or extended county canvasses before the final Senate number is certified. Democrats remain favored to hold a majority, but the lack of a clean result modestly increases near-term volatility.
What it moves
- Finance−0.3%
- Technology−0.3%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.