Possible scenario
Operational Friction Increases
20% Chance
Bailey's resignation, following Dan Bongino's earlier departure, reinforces perceptions of instability in the FBI's top ranks. The agency can still function, but internal morale, interagency coordination, and continuity on sensitive programs may weaken.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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