Possible scenario
Orderly Index Deletion
45% Chance
The most likely outcome is that MSCI's removal of MicroStrategy triggers mechanical passive selling, but the event remains contained to the stock and crypto-treasury peer group. Investors had some warning from the non-operating review process, limiting broader spillover.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Tickers
- MSTR-5.0%
- MSCI+0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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