Possible scenario
Temporary CPC Slippage
45% Chance
The September decline proves to be a timing and maintenance issue at the Caspian Pipeline Consortium route rather than a structural disruption. October nominations and tanker loadings normalize as the Black Sea terminal remains operational after its July return to service.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- XOM+0.1%
- CVX+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.