Possible scenario
Moratoria Spread
30% Chance
State and local governments treat New York’s moratorium and Texas’s interconnection halt as models for controlling AI power demand, water use, and ratepayer exposure. The outcome would slow the US data-center buildout most sharply in the high-growth Mid-Atlantic, Southwest, and Southeast markets.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.4%
- Utilities -1.0%
- Industrials -0.9%
- Finance +0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.2%
Tickers
- NVDA-2.0%
- -1.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.