Sand Breaks Through

Rob Sand converts the tossup rating into a narrow Democratic win, helped by Joni Ernst’s retirement, Republican divisions over the Iran war, and a favorable national environment for Democrats. This would be Iowa’s first Democratic Senate victory since 2008 and would likely become a centerpiece of the party’s Midwest rebuilding argument.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.