Possible scenario
Hawkish Repricing Extends
26% Chance
Markets may extend the move if traders further price in a Federal Reserve hike or a longer hold at restrictive rates. This would pressure duration-sensitive equities, particularly technology, growth stocks, and rate-sensitive defensives.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -1.1%
- Utilities -0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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