Possible scenario
Jackson Lead Holds
42% Chance
Jackson’s polling advantage remains the dominant fact of the race, even though Collins has more cash on hand. The $20.4 million haul gives Jackson enough late advertising capacity to blunt Collins’ reserve advantage and keep Democrats engaged in Maine.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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