Possible scenario
Collins Late Recovery
30% Chance
Collins’ campaign turns the cash-on-hand advantage into a disciplined closing message, while Jackson’s spending rate and disclosure questions become liabilities. The race tightens sharply as older independents and ticket-splitting voters reconsider the incumbent.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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