Possible scenario
Rapid Cleanup
45% Chance
Typhoon Dujuan moves away from Honshu and emergency crews shift from rescue to cleanup. The death toll remains limited, major airports reopen, and investors treat the disruption as a short-lived Japan transport and utilities event.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Industrials +0.1%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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