Scenario description
Assume Merz remains chancellor and the CDU/CSU-SPD federal coalition does not formally collapse by the resolution date, but the federal government makes an operational retreat from its economic reform agenda under election and polling pressure. The initiating event is a federal-level policy process change in Germany: withdrawal, suspension, indefinite postponement, or substantial dilution of a named economic reform bill, budget measure, or regulatory package that had been part of the government's agenda. The supplied evidence does not specify the affected measures, fiscal amounts, rates, implementation dates, sectors, or replacement policies, so those inputs remain unavailable unless reported before resolution.