Possible scenario
Security Limits Persist
25% Chance
Washington welcomes people-to-people exchanges in principle but refuses to relax security reviews, research controls, or warnings for travelers. The result is a narrow non-STEM exchange channel rather than a broad reopening of student mobility.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
- Consumer Services +0.1%
Tickers
- UAL-0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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