Possible scenario
Congressional Probe Expands
30% Chance
Lawmakers use the death to reopen questions about the Epstein files, Farmer's testimony, and Lutnick's prior statements. The most likely institutional response is hearings, document requests, and testimony rather than immediate criminal allegations.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.4%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- BGC-2.0%
- NMRK-1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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