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its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

House Republican leadership succeeds in disposing of Thomas Massie’s impeachment push against Pete Hegseth through a procedural vote. This is the most likely outcome because cabinet impeachments rarely advance without majority-party leadership support, and the allegations center on partisan resource use rather than a broadly accepted criminal predicate.

What it moves

Industrials+0.1%

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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