Possible scenario
Louisiana Landfall
38% Chance
The most likely path keeps Isaias moving into the north-central Gulf with landfall along the Louisiana coast. This outcome fits the current intensification trend while avoiding the worst-case scenario of a direct Houston-area hit.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Utilities -1.0%
- Energy +1.0%
- Finance -0.4%
Tickers
- -3.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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