Possible scenario
Energy Corridor Strike
27% Chance
A more disruptive outcome sends Isaias farther west toward the Texas-Louisiana energy corridor. This path would raise the risk of refinery shutdowns, LNG export disruptions, and wider offshore production curtailments.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +2.7%
- Utilities -2.3%
- Finance -0.9%
- Industrials
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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