Possible scenario
Recovery Stabilizes Trust
45% Chance
The most likely path is that NEAR Intents treats the exploit as contained after the hacker returns the full $3.8 million. The recovery, compensation pledge, and earlier blocking of $50 million in Bitget-related transfers allow the team to frame the incident as a successful crisis response rather than a lasting protocol failure.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Up
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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