Possible scenario
Scrutiny Increases
20% Chance
The recovery does not necessarily end official or exchange-level scrutiny, especially because the background timeline links NEAR Intents to blocked transfers from a much larger Bitget hack. Compliance teams and law-enforcement partners may ask for more details on the hacker, the ultimatum, and the flow of funds.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.