Possible scenario
Settlement And Redesign
30% Chance
A negotiated outcome is plausible because Arlington may prefer enforceable concessions over a prolonged federal preemption fight. The administration could preserve the 250th-anniversary symbolism while reducing legal risk through design changes, public access guarantees, and restrictions on drone operations.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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