Possible scenario
Federal Government Prevails
25% Chance
The court may conclude that Arlington lacks authority to halt work on federal land or that national-security functions tied to the drone complex deserve deference. This would allow construction to continue while the lawsuit proceeds on a narrower administrative-law record.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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