Flint Narrow Win

Aaron Flint holds the Republican-leaning 1st District despite the late tied poll, helped by GOP turnout operations and JD Vance’s closing campaign stop. The result is close enough to show Democratic gains in western Montana but not enough for Sam Forstag to overcome the district’s partisan baseline.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.