Possible scenario
Redaction Review Prevails
38% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the brief posting is treated as a privacy and redaction failure rather than a deliberate cover-up. The Justice Department, led by Attorney General Pam Bondi, moves to reprocess the 48,000 files to protect victims, witnesses, and minors while preserving a path to public release.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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