Possible scenario
Florida Becomes Competitive
25% Chance
Neither party dominates the registration trend after the streak ends. Florida remains right-leaning, but narrowing registration margins force presidential, gubernatorial, and congressional campaigns to invest again in the state rather than treating it as safely Republican.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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