Possible scenario
Congressional Oversight Expands
25% Chance
Lawmakers use the exposed decoy-plane tactic to reopen scrutiny of Secret Service performance after the 2024 assassination attempts and 2026 Iranian threat warning. The result is more hearings, document requests, and possible inspector general review, but not a broader market event.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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