Possible scenario
Custody Standards Shift
20% Chance
The incident pushes wallet makers, exchanges and custody providers toward stronger device attestation, sealed distribution and provenance checks. The market reaction depends on whether Ledger leads the standard-setting effort or users migrate away from consumer hardware wallets.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +0.1%
- Finance +0.1%
Tickers
- COIN+0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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