Possible scenario
Compromise Widens Further
30% Chance
Forensic review finds the $4.8 million loss is not isolated and that tampered Ledger devices were distributed more broadly than first believed. This would make the incident an industry-level hardware-wallet trust shock, though still not a general financial-market crisis.
Initial impacts
- Bitcoin Down
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.2%
Tickers
- COIN+1.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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