A survey of likely voters conducted by Emerson from Oct 26 to Oct 28 finds Republican Ty Masterson leading Democrat Cindy Holscher 52.5% to 47.5% in the contest for governor of Kansas. In the state’s race for the US Senate, the same poll shows Democrat Adam Hamilton with 49.5% support, holding a narrow lead over incumbent Republican Roger Marshall, who has 47.1% support, while Libertarian David Graham follows with 3.4%.
The results for the gubernatorial race represent a shift from a Washington Post and Schar survey of likely voters taken Oct 22 to Oct 26, which placed Holscher ahead of Masterson 51% to 45%. The Washington Post survey also showed Hamilton with a wider advantage in the Senate race, polling at 52% against Marshall’s 43% or 45%. Following the release of the newer data, Hamilton also took the lead in Senate betting markets on Kalshi.