Possible scenario
Deal Stalls
15% Chance
The Parliament deal proves fragile as pro-EV governments, environmental groups, and parts of the European Parliament demand tougher language. Carmakers lose some of the immediate reprieve premium as the process drifts into further negotiation.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.1%
- Utilities +0.1%
Tickers
- STLA-0.6%
- TSLA+0.4%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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