Possible scenario
Relief measures contain costs
25% Chance
Federal and state governments respond to the EIA forecast with targeted household aid, reserve releases, and logistical waivers. The measures do not eliminate high prices, but they reduce the risk of payment stress for low-income households.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.6%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.5%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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