Possible scenario
TSMC Bottleneck Power
25% Chance
Demand for 2nm wafers outstrips available leading-edge foundry capacity, reinforcing TSMC's pricing power. Smartphone makers still launch AI devices, but allocation and yield management become a key competitive variable.
Secondary impacts
- Technology +1.4%
- Industrials +0.4%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
Tickers
- QCOM+0.7%
- AAPL+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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