Possible scenario
Republicans Keep Attacking
27% Chance
Mike Rogers and Republican-aligned groups decide the controversy is worth absorbing because it keeps El-Sayed's identity and background in the news. The GOP message shifts slightly from personal insults to questions about judgment, public health policy, and ideology.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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