Possible scenario
Official Closure Holds
55% Chance
The most likely outcome is that the WHO statement validates Russia's decision to end precautionary measures. Hospitals complete monitoring of the 189 people previously held, and no broader biosecurity narrative gains traction.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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