Possible scenario
Buttigieg Builds Machine
28% Chance
The endorsement campaign is less about any single race than about positioning Buttigieg as a national Democratic organizer after the party's 2024 defeat. If a large share of his endorsed candidates win, he gains leverage with governors, mayors, unions and donors ahead of the 2028 presidential cycle.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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