Possible scenario
Legislature Narrows Reform
20% Chance
Lawmakers respond to the factual dispute by drafting a narrower bill than Hochul initially signaled. The result is a more technical debate involving prosecutors, defense attorneys, civil-liberties groups, and campus-safety advocates.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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