Possible scenario
Republicans Keep Senate
+0.1%
New Jersey remains Democratic, but Republicans win enough competitive races elsewhere to keep Senate control. The result limits the national significance of the New Jersey outcome and preserves more of the existing legislative balance.
What it moves
- Finance+0.6%
- Consumer Cyclicals+0.3%
- 10-year Treasury yield
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.