Possible scenario
Claims Partly Revived
20% Chance
A less likely but realistic outcome is that a narrow part of Trump's suit survives on appeal, especially if the court finds unresolved factual issues around alleged disclosure of tax information. Even then, the court is unlikely to restore the full $10 billion damages theory.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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