Limited successful strike

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.7%on the S&P 500, if it happens

A future Houthi salvo gets through Saudi defenses and causes limited but visible damage to an energy site or aviation facility. The disruption is not systemic, but the event increases the perceived vulnerability of Saudi infrastructure.

What it moves

Consumer Services−1.2%
Energy+1.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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