Contained missile cycle

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.2%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Saudi air defenses continue to intercept most Houthi missiles and drones, keeping damage to energy infrastructure and Riyadh airport limited. Riyadh responds with calibrated strikes in Yemen, but neither side crosses a threshold that forces a broader regional response.

What it moves

Energy+0.3%
Consumer Services−0.3%
Market volatility▲ up
Oil prices▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?