Case De-Escalates

The most likely outcome is that Thames Valley Police and Counter Terrorism Policing find insufficient evidence of an active bomb plot after earlier searches found no explosives in vans. Bail conditions remain in place while digital devices and communications are reviewed, but the public threat posture around RAF Fairford is gradually reduced.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.