Possible scenario
Delay Holds
45% Chance
The White House keeps the Justice Department from taking visible abortion-related action before the midterms, prioritizing swing-state Republican candidates and suburban voters. Antiabortion groups criticize the delay but largely avoid a full break before Election Day.
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare +0.1%
Tickers
- CVS+0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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