Possible scenario
Price War Deepens
40% Chance
The most likely path is that lower AI spending reflects rapid price compression rather than a collapse in usage. OpenAI and Anthropic keep cutting prices to defend enterprise accounts, pressuring margins across model providers and cloud partners.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -1.2%
- Business Services +0.5%
Tickers
- NVDA-1.9%
- MSFT-1.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.6%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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