Possible scenario
Budget Scrutiny Spreads
20% Chance
The decline in AI spend may signal a broader reassessment of generative-AI returns after months of weak ROI commentary. If budget owners cut back rather than reallocate to cheaper tools, AI software and infrastructure expectations would reset lower.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -2.2%
- Business Services -0.8%
Tickers
- MSFT-3.1%
- NVDA-2.5%
- SNOW-1.6%
- CRM-0.9%
- -0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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