Possible scenario
Energy Corridor Landfall
45% Chance
Isaias continues strengthening and makes landfall near the central Gulf Coast, putting offshore platforms, Port Fourchon, and Louisiana refining and pipeline infrastructure at risk. This is the base case because the storm is already strengthening and Gulf oil operators have begun precautionary shutdowns.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +1.5%
- Utilities -1.2%
- Finance -0.6%
- Consumer Services -0.3%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.