Possible scenario
Western Track Shift
15% Chance
The storm tracks farther west than expected, increasing risk to Texas refining, LNG, and petrochemical assets. Markets price a narrower but still material Gulf energy disruption, especially if ship-channel or export operations pause.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.8%
- Non-Energy Materials -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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